Community Scoop

Nationwide values continue to increase

Press Release – QV Valuations

Nationwide residential property values continued to gradually increase according to the latest QV monthly index. Values have risen 1.1% over the past three months and are now 2.7% above the same time last year, and 3.3% below the previous market …Media release
14th February 2012
Nationwide values continue to increase

Nationwide residential property values continued to gradually increase according to the latest QV monthly index. Values have risen 1.1% over the past three months and are now 2.7% above the same time last year, and 3.3% below the previous market peak of late 2007.

“While national values are continuing to increase, this is not universal across the country. While the combined main urban areas and combined rural areas have increased over the past few months, the combined provincial areas have begun to slide back again” said Research Director, Jonno Ingerson.

Ingerson said “there appears to be a little more market activity since the New Year, with signs that decisions made over the holiday break are now being put into action. However potential buyers remain cautious and calculated and are often unwilling to commit quickly”.

“The increase in values in many areas, particularly central Auckland, can in part be attributed to a lack of supply, with a shortage of desirable and well presented properties for sale. When quality properties come up for sale in these areas they are in high demand which is tending to push the price up” said Ingerson.

Values in the Auckland area are increasing the fastest of any of the main centres, up 2.1% over the past three months and up 5.1% over the past year. Values are above the previous market peak by 1.9%.

The old Auckland City continues to be the strongest performing area within Auckland, up 2.7% over the last three months, up 7.2% over the year, and is now 4.4% above the previous market peak. North Shore has shown slightly slower value growth but is still up 4.0% over the year and 0.9% above peak. Across the rest of Auckland values are up over the last year by between 2.5% (in Franklin) to 3.2% (in Waitakere) with the exception of Rodney where values have been volatile over the past few years and now sit 1.6% above last year.

Values in Hamilton have once again stabilised in the past few months in what is probably a long-term trend. This follows a slight short-lived recovery in late 2011. Values are now 0.5% above the same time last year and 11.0% below the 2007 market peak.

In general, Tauranga values have been increasing very gradually over the past year, up 1.1% over that period, but remain 10.9% below the 2007 market peak.
QV Valuer Shayne Donovan-Grammer said “Tauranga has started 2012 well with a good level of activity in the market. This is perhaps even a little more than expected but in line with what has happened this time of year in years gone by. While activity has improved though, prices have remained stagnant”.
Over the past year, values in the Wellington area first fell a few percent, then recovered most of those losses since mid 2011, leaving current values just 0.4% below the same time last year and 6.2% below the 2007 market peak.

“Despite increased market activity, prices are generally quite static throughout Wellington. Properties in the lower price brackets are meeting the greatest demand although it is still important for all sellers to present their properties well and to price them sensibly” said QV Valuer Kerry Buckeridge.
Values continue to increase in Christchurch, as they have been doing since just after the February 2011 earthquake, and are now 3.7% above the same time last year and just 0.7% below the 2007 market peak. The areas immediately surrounding Christchurch have continued to show strong value growth, with Waimakariri District 10.5% up over the year and 5.2% above the 2007 peak, and Selwyn District 8.7% up over the year and 5.3% above the 2007 peak.

QV Valuer Richard Kolff said “areas like the north west of Christchurch continue to benefit from good demand from purchasers. Open homes are busy and resulting in a multiple offer situations for the vendors. This is particularly the case for houses in under $400,000 with demand being fuelled by a steady stream of payouts to red zone home owners”.
In Dunedin values have been increasing since August 2011 and are now 3.4% up over the past twelve months and 4.2% below the 2007 peak.

QV Valuer Tim Gibson said “the Dunedin property market is seeing increased outside investment due to the affordability of Dunedin values. Buyers are becoming more active and we are seeing some multiple offer scenarios occurring. The lower to mid bracket properties are the most popular with increased demand stimulating the growth shown”.

Provincial centres
While values for the combined Provincial areas have slid back over the past three months, there is variability between areas. Towards the end of 2011 values appeared to be increasing across most provincial centres in line with the main centres. However in the last few months values have begun to drop again in Whangarei, Rotorua, Gisborne and Wanganui. Values have stayed more or less steady in Napier, New Plymouth and Palmerston North over the past three months, and increased over the same period in Hastings and Nelson. Nelson also differs from all the other provincial centres by being only 0.3% below the previous market peak. This is in contrast to 5.7% below peak in New Plymouth through to 17.0% below in Queenstown Lakes, 17.5% below in Whangarei and 22.3% in Gisborne.


Residential Property – Monthly price index
Time period: as at January 2012
Territorial authority Average sale price
over the past 3 months
Property Value Growth
Over the past 12 months
based on the QV index
Far North 341,797 -0.4
Whangarei 322,914 0.3
Kaipara 310,264 -0.5
Auckland – Rodney 512,394 1.6
Hibiscus Coast 507,187 1.6
Rodney (North) 518,675 2.4
#A Auckland – North Shore 579,246 4.1
Coastal North Shore 627,608 3.9
North Shore Onewa 473,937 5.9
North Harbour 656,453 2.8
#A Auckland – Waitakere 403,632 3.2
#A Auckland – City 610,760 7.2
Auckland City (Central) 550,472 6.9
Auckland City (East) 763,406 6.9
Auckland City (South) 544,896 7.9
Islands 502,826 -3.5
#A Auckland – Manukau 454,749 2.8
Manukau East 553,651 5.5
Manukau Central 356,882 1.7
Manukau North West 410,218 -0.2
#A Auckland – Papakura 356,463 2.8
Auckland – Franklin 382,857 2.5
Thames Coromandel 404,063 -2.1
Hauraki 238,450 0.0
Waikato 302,308 -9.4
Matamata Piako 274,559 -5.4
# Hamilton 343,442 0.5
Hamilton North East 423,874 -0.1
Central City/North West 302,070 1.5
Hamilton South East 315,725 0.4
Hamilton South West 301,998 -0.2
Waipa 319,277 -1.8
Otorohanga N/A N/A
South Waikato 156,854 -6.4
Waitomo N/A N/A
Taupo 357,600 -0.6
Western BOP 351,431 -2.3
# Tauranga 392,814 1.1
Rotorua 259,838 -3.4
Whakatane 303,379 -0.9
Kawerau N/A N/A
Opotiki N/A N/A
Gisborne 249,638 -2.6
Wairoa N/A N/A
Hastings 311,777 0.5
# Napier 332,123 -1.7
Central Hawkes Bay 232,174 -1.2
New Plymouth 318,137 -2.1
Stratford 213,344 6.8
South Taranaki 218,127 1.0
Ruapehu 148,225 -7.7
Wanganui 205,490 -5.6
Rangitikei 206,379 -3.6
Manawatu 240,139 -3.1
# Palmerston North 286,709 -0.1
Tararua 149,436 -0.3
Horowhenua 205,516 -2.2
Kapiti Coast 355,915 -1.8
#W Porirua 401,243 -0.1
#W Upper Hutt 362,846 0.6
#W Hutt 357,405 -2.1
#W Wellington 500,063 0.3
Wellington City & Southern Suburbs 498,924 0.2
Eastern Suburbs 552,467 2.3
North Wellington 447,811 0.0
Western Suburbs 607,541 0.2
Masterton 230,109 -3.3
Carterton 247,344 2.0
South Wairarapa 312,143 -6.6
Tasman 366,049 0.1
# Nelson 363,297 2.5
Marlborough 325,956 -1.8
Kaikoura N/A N/A
Buller 220,883 7.4
Grey 229,730 -2.7
Westland 219,985 -0.2
Hurunui 326,924 2.6
Waimakariri 363,549 10.5
# Christchurch 377,040 3.7
East 311,744 3.6
Hills 469,237 0.0
Central City and North 417,055 4.0
Southwest 363,654 4.3
Banks Peninsula N/A N/A
Selwyn 420,348 8.7
Ashburton 257,289 5.0
Timaru 243,422 6.1
MacKenzie N/A N/A
Waimate N/A N/A
Waitaki 219,254 5.2
Central Otago 276,936 2.4
Queenstown Lakes 470,461 -0.9
# Dunedin 272,657 3.4
Central/Northern City 280,687 3.6
Peninsula/Coastal Dunedin 245,569 2.5
Southern City 246,977 3.1
Taieri 304,809 4.5
Clutha 162,563 2.2
Southland 215,968 1.5
Gore 181,627 -1.1
# Invercargill 211,971 -0.6
Auckland Area 527,617 5.0
Wellington Area 431,814 -0.4
# Main Urban Areas 438,466 3.4
Total NZ 396,958 2.7
Notes on the above data:
1. The information included in the above table is calculated based on the sales data entered into QV’s system for the previous 3 month period. For example, information for the period ending June will be calculated based on sales entered between April 1 and June 30.
2. Property Value Growth is the annual % change in residential property values, calculated using QV’s House Price Index methodology. The residential sales entered into QV’s system for previous 3 month period are compared to the same period of the previous year to identify the annual % change in residential property values. Average Sale Prices are calculated based on residential sales entered into QV’s system for the previous 3 month period.
3. Any of the statistical data shown in italics are calculated based on a sample set of data that is less than the recommended minimum. These results should be used with caution. Those showing N/A had too few sales to generate an index

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